According to a recent market study, the altcoin season continues, which is on the rise after the market dominance of Bitcoin declined to approximately 62 percent. Many of the top altcoins have been outperforming BTC, and now several indicators strongly suggest the market is about to shift.
All eyes are on certain key features that traders and analysts will discuss in determining whether this will lead to a broader altcoin pump.
Bitcoin Dominance Drops Below 63%
The Bitcoin portion has fallen from over 66% earlier in July to around 64% today. The most significant decline ever indicated the beginning of a rotation into altcoins, as capital began to shift towards liquidity rotations in other digital assets.
Recent charts on TradingView indicate that Bitcoin dominance is breaking below key support levels. On social platforms like X, traders are sharing comparisons to 2021, when similar breakdowns triggered strong rallies in altcoins.
Altcoin Season Index Shows Growing Momentum
The Altcoin Surge Index, which tracks how many of the top 50 coins have outperformed Bitcoin over the last 90 days, is gaining strength.
Here’s the updated index trend:
| Date | Altcoin Season Index | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | ≈ 12 | Bearish |
| Mid-July 2025 | ≈ 32 | Turning Bullish |
| July 18, 2025 | 49 | Strengthening |
| Target (Full Altseason) | 75+ | Full Altseason |
Although the index didn’t reach a 75 mark for the confirmed altcoin summer, it has risen steadily. This increase is a sign of growing confidence in the altcoins market as a whole.
Ethereum and Other Altcoins Show Early Signs
Ethereum surged past the $ 3,400 mark with substantial volume and increasing interest across derivatives markets. Technical analysts have identified numerous bullish cup-and-handle formations for the total altcoin market cap (TOTAL3), which typically precede further gains.
Another key factor is the increasing ETH-BTC ratio. Typically, when Ethereum gains strength relative to Bitcoin, other altcoins also increase their relative strength to Bitcoin.
What the Traders Are Saying
Veteran analyst Peter Brandt recently posted, “It’s altcoin season,” as he shared a BTC dominance chart showing clear rejection of resistance.
Reddit users have also noticed this change, with one writing, “Alt season determines BTC dominance, not the other way around.”
Across social platforms, sentiment is turning cautiously bullish, with many waiting for a few more signals before committing fully.
What to Watch Next
Three signals could confirm the start of a full altcoin breakout phase:
- Bitcoin dominance falls below 60%
- Altcoin Season Index crosses 75
- Major altcoins maintain momentum, especially ETH, SOL, XRP, and SUI
Analysts also recommend watching TOTAL3 charts and volume trends. A breakout in the overall altcoin market cap could support a larger rally.
Conclusion
Based on the latest research, the altcoin season is in its early stages. Bitcoin dominance is slipping, major altcoins are gaining ground, and market indicators are turning bullish. While confirmation is still pending, the setup is becoming more favorable for altcoin rallies. Traders should remain vigilant, closely follow key signals, and effectively manage risk as the market unfolds.
Summary
With Bitcoin’s dominance decreasing to about 62%, statements suggest that an altcoin uptrend is likely to flourish. The Altcoin Season Index now stands at 49, and other significant chart patterns indicate that the balance of power is shifting in favor of altcoins like Ethereum and Solana. Although not confirmed, the early signals are building strength. Traders are closely tracking market signals to determine whether we are headed for a broader rally in altcoins or if Bitcoin will regain momentum.
For more updates and detailed insights into the world of cryptocurrencies, check out our latest articles.
FAQs
What is altcoin season?
The altcoin surge is a period during which most major altcoins outperform Bitcoin in terms of price and trading activity over several weeks.
What triggers altcoin market shift?
It typically begins when Bitcoin consolidates or loses dominance, prompting investors to seek higher returns from altcoins.
Has altcoin trend kicked off yet?
Not officially. The Altcoin Surge Index is currently at 49, but it needs to reach 75 or higher for confirmation.
Which altcoins led during this period?
Ethereum, Solana, XRP, SUI, and ARB often lead gains in early altcoin breakout window.
Glossary
Bitcoin Dominance: That percentage of the crypto total market cap that Bitcoin holds.
Altcoin Season Index: This metric tracks the percentage of altcoins that have outperformed Bitcoin over the past 90 days.
ETH/BTC Ratio: The ETH/BTC Ratio indicates the value of Ethereum relative to Bitcoin and is used to measure market sentiment and market rotation.
TOTAL3: TOTAL3 is the market cap of altcoins, excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Cup-and-Handle Pattern: A chart pattern that usually suggests continued price growth after a breakout.
Sources & References
The price predictions and financial analysis presented on this website are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. While we strive to provide accurate and up-to-date information, the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets means that prices can fluctuate significantly and unpredictably.
You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The Bit Journal does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information provided in the price predictions, and we will not be held liable for any losses incurred as a result of relying on this information.
Investing in cryptocurrencies carries risks, including the risk of significant losses. Always invest responsibly and within your means.
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