According to sources, Arthur Hayes bitcoin prediction has brought back concerns in the crypto market. Hayes, who once led BitMEX and now manages Maelstrom Fund, has cautioned that $BTC could return to the $100,000 level.
He recently moved over $22.95 million into USDC, showing that he’s trying to avoid risk as the global economy shows signs of weakness.
His decision reflects the worry among experienced investors, especially with Bitcoin now trading near $113,000, which is over 7% below its recent high.
Why is Arthur Hayes Warning About a Bitcoin $100K Drop?
Arthur Hayes links his negative view to poor U.S. job numbers and slow credit growth worldwide. The July Non-Farm Payrolls report showed just 73,000 new jobs, which was far below what was expected.
Hayes posted on X that major economies aren’t expanding credit fast enough to keep up with GDP growth, which could lead to a sharp drop in risk assets like $BTC.
The Arthur Hayes bitcoin prediction clearly points to $BTC falling to $100K and $ETH dropping to $3K. He believes these price levels are likely in the next few months unless there’s a strong improvement in credit and economic conditions.
What Does On-Chain Data Reveal About Hayes’ Moves?
According to on-chain data from Lookonchain, Hayes has sold off $13 million worth of crypto, which includes $8.32 million in ETH, $4.62 million in Ethena (ENA), and $414,700 in PEPE tokens.
This move supports his Bitcoin $100K drop forecast and shows he’s focusing on protecting his capital. The wallet linked to Hayes now holds $28.3 million in total, with $22.95 million in USDC.
That’s a large amount in stablecoins for someone known for taking bold crypto risks. Experts see this as a warning sign that other big investors might do the same.
| Key Metrics | Values/Details |
| Bitcoin Near-Term Target | $100,000 |
| Bitcoin All-Time High | $123,000 |
| Predicted Correction % | 18.7% drop from all-time high |
| Ethereum Near-Term Target | Around $3,000 |
| Crypto Assets Sold by Hayes | $13+ million total |
| Stablecoins Holding | $22.95 million USDC |
| Longer-Term Bitcoin Outlook | Potential to $250,000 |
What Do Market Experts Say About the Arthur Hayes Bitcoin Prediction?
The Arthur Hayes Bitcoin prediction goes against the positive mood present in the market. Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas pointed out that Bitcoin has become less volatile since BlackRock’s ETF announcement in 2023, hinting at a more steady, institution-led phase.
Likewise, Blockware’s Mitchell Askew mentioned that the days of extreme price spikes and crashes might be behind us. Still, Hayes’s different view is supported by broader economic signs.
“Bitcoin is still a risky asset, and it feels the impact when liquidity tightens,” said independent macro expert Dana Khoury. “Hayes isn’t acting out of fear, he’s responding to serious economic problems happening around the world.”
How Is Bitcoin Positioned Amid Market Uncertainty?
Even with all the warnings, Bitcoin is still trading near $113,000. That’s about 7% lower than its highest price of $123,000. Some see this as a normal pause, while others think it could be the start of more downside if economic troubles continue.
While Arthur Hayes bitcoin prediction points to more downside, some market watchers view this as a period of consolidation, not a major decline.
Ethereum ($ETH) is staying strong above $3,450 after jumping 50% in July, mostly due to growing interest from big investors through ETFs.
However, the Altcoin Season Index is still at 36, which means most of the money is focused on Bitcoin and Ethereum, not smaller altcoins
Is There Broader Support for the Market, or Signs of Weakness?
Big investors are still helping to hold up the crypto market. Institutional capital remains an important source of support, even as concerns grow about long-term strength.
JPMorgan analysts also note that $60 billion in new capital has flowed into crypto this year, surpassing the amount invested in private equity. Even so, Arthur Hayes bitcoin prediction brings some doubt to this bullish outlook.
Hayes warned that the factors that powered earlier rallies, like easy credit, strong job growth, and confident retail buying, are fading. With that shift, even minor economic shocks could hit $BTC harder than before.
Conclusion
Based on the latest research, Arthur Hayes bitcoin prediction shows real concern from experienced investors, not just guesses. Bitcoin is still trading above $100,000, but Hayes’ actions reflect warning signs like weak job growth, tighter liquidity, and slow credit expansion. With $22.95 million moved into stablecoins and a Bitcoin $100K drop in sight, the market could be heading for a serious test, and many traders and analysts are keeping a close eye on global economic signals.
Summary
The Arthur Hayes Bitcoin prediction has raised new concerns about a possible Bitcoin $100K drop. Hayes pointed to poor job numbers and slow credit growth as reasons behind his decision to sell $13 million worth of crypto and shift $22.95 million into USDC.
He believes $BTC could fall to $100K and $ETH to $3K unless economic conditions improve. While Bitcoin trades near $113,000, experts remain divided. Some believe the market is just taking a paushile otHayes’agree with the Arthur Hayes bitcoin prediction.
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FAQs
What price is Arthur Hayes Bitcoin prediction?
$100,000.
What price is he predicting for Ethereum?
$3,000.
What altcoins did Hayes sell?
ETH, Ethena (ENA), and PEPE.
What triggered Hayes’ bearish outlook?
Weak U.S. jobs data and slow credit growth.
How many new jobs were added in the July NFP report?
73,000.
Glossary
USDC – A stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar, often used to avoid crypto volatility.
Lookonchain – On-chain analytics platform tracking wallet and trading activity.
Altcoin Season Index – A metric showing how much investment is shifting from Bitcoin to altcoins.
Liquidity – The ease with which assets can be bought or sold without major price impact.
Non-Farm Payrolls – A key U.S. jobs report showing employment trends.
Sources
The price predictions and financial analysis presented on this website are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. While we strive to provide accurate and up-to-date information, the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets means that prices can fluctuate significantly and unpredictably.
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