Just as Bitcoin bounces back from mid-year volatility, reaching a new all-time high of $122k; a new forecast is making rounds, this time from Russia. Experts speaking to state-backed media agency TASS say Bitcoin could hit $150,000 by the end of 2025, driven by institutional demand, global liquidity shifts, and strategic mining growth. But not everyone is convinced it will be smooth sailing.
With US macro data about to shake markets and technicals flashing both caution and optimism, Bitcoin 2025 path from here depends on timing, policy and sentiment. For long-term holders and traders alike; 2025 is looking like the cycle’s defining stretch.
From Moscow to the Market: The $150K Prediction
TASS quoted several major Russian crypto figures over the weekend. Among them was Yan Pinchuk, deputy head of exchange operations at Whitebird, who predicted a potential Bitcoin 2025 price to $130,000-$150,000 by December 31, 2025.
Pinchuk said “market participants should expect a short-term correction”, likely tied to US fiscal actions and stock market reactions, but overall trend is bullish. He pointed to the US tariff deadline on August 1, saying;
“if the stock market adjusts due to revaluation or trade pressure, Bitcoin will sag temporarily before bouncing back”.
This cautious optimism was echoed by Anton Gontarev, commercial director at Intelion. Gontarev said the next short-term target is between $120K and $130K, with potential to reach $168K-$184K by year-end if momentum holds.
What’s Behind the Bullish Sentiment?
While price predictions are nothing new in crypto, the involvement of state-backed Russian analysts and TASS is a big change in tone. Until recently, mainstream Russian media avoided crypto forecasting altogether. But with Moscow now exploring blockchain for international trade settlements and encouraging industrial-scale mining in energy-rich regions, the tide has turned.
Beyond geopolitical alignment, several economic forces support this thesis. According to Vasily Girya, CEO of GIS Mining, he said institutional interest, combined with declining fiat trust in emerging economies, is driving Bitcoin adoption in non-Western regions. He predicts $135K by September 1, with a brief pause at $118,500 as a local correction zone.
Girya was quick to tie this to the global picture:
“Right now, all eyes are on a few key points. First, the US inflation data due out on July 15. It’s critical to assess the real chances of a quick Fed rate cut. Second, any new statements or hints from Fed officials themselves regarding their plans will be important, especially in light of the internal disagreements noted in the latest minutes: the majority is still allowing for a rate cut this year, but some are already ready to consider it at the next meeting,”
Fed Watch: Why July 15 Matters
Russian analysts may be looking inward, but the US Federal Reserve is Bitcoin’s biggest external driver. All eyes are now on July 15, when the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is out. If inflation continues to cool, it may set the stage for a rate cut as early as September.
According to CoinTelegraph market analysts, BTC is forming a cup-and-handle breakout pattern, a technical setup that often precedes big moves. Analyst Keith Alan of Material Indicators says
“BTC must close above $126K this week to confirm macro bullish continuation.”
This lines up with Gontarev’s and Pinchuk’s technicals.
Other US economic data like the PPI on July 16 and retail sales and consumer sentiment on July 17 will also influence the Fed. If data softens, markets will start pricing in a dovish turn and give Bitcoin some room to run.
Not So Fast: The Correction Risk Is Real
Despite the bullish setup, experts warn that traders and investors should be careful. While several forecasts are calling for $150K–$180K by Q4, the market is still very reactive to US data surprises.
As Pinchuk said, the correlation between tech stocks and Bitcoin is tight. Any revaluation in overbought equities; especially if tariffs are enforced or inflation surprises, will lead to a sharp BTC selloff before further upside resumes. Already, Bitcoin is showing volatility at the $123K–$126K resistance zone and profit taking is dragging prices lower intraday.
Miners like Girya say the surge in hash rate and difficulty post-halving has narrowed profitability margins and could lead to more selling.
“Short term corrections are not only expected, they’re necessary,” he said.
Experts’ Bitcoin 2025 Price Targets
| Analyst | Short-Term Target | End-2025 Prediction | Notes |
| Yan Pinchuk (Whitebird) | $118.5K–$120K | $130K–$150K | Expects dip due to U.S. market moves |
| Anton Gontarev (Intelion) | $130K | $168K–$184K | Bullish if macro environment supports rally |
| Vasily Girya (GIS Mining) | $118.5K | $135K by September | Depends on Fed’s rate cut signal |
| Keith Alan (Material Indicators) | $126K+ breakout needed | N/A | Technical signal to sustain rally |
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Conclusion
What’s unique about this latest batch of Bitcoin 2025 predictions is their state sanctioned visibility. TASS isn’t just echoing market chatter, it’s amplifying it. That coincides with Russia’s efforts to settle cross border transactions with crypto and explore blockchain rails to bypass SWIFT-like systems.
By promoting mining in energy rich regions like Irkutsk and the Russian Far East, the country is setting roots for its financial infrastructure. Analysts say that will institutionalize crypto mining in Russia just like oil and gas.
That’s why Gontarev says “Crypto isn’t just speculation anymore; it’s strategy.”
Summary
Russian crypto experts now predict Bitcoin will hit $150K by end of 2025 due to institutional interest, mining growth and global liquidity. Via TASS, this is a big policy shift in Moscow where state backed crypto initiatives are taking off. Analysts see a short term dip to $118K-$120K before a bigger move, with July 15 US inflation data being the key.
FAQs
Can Bitcoin hit $150K in 2025?
According to Russian experts and on-chain analysts, but not without volatility. Short-term dips to $118K–$120K are likely.
Why is Russia supporting Bitcoin now?
The country is using crypto for trade settlements and backing mining in surplus-energy regions.
What macro events in July 2025 will impact Bitcoin?
July 15 CPI and July 16 PPI reports in the US, and Federal Reserve rate outlook.
What are the risks to the $150K thesis?
Unexpected inflation spikes, delayed rate cuts; or sudden global risk-off events can stall or reverse momentum.
Glossary
TASS: Russia’s state-run media outlet, aligned with Kremlin policy.
CPI (Consumer Price Index): key US inflation metric; affects Fed rate decisions.
Cup-and-Handle Pattern: bullish setup that suggests a breakout if resistance is cleared.
Mining Difficulty: measure of how hard it is to validate a Bitcoin block, affects miner profitability and network security.
Sources
The price predictions and financial analysis presented on this website are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. While we strive to provide accurate and up-to-date information, the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets means that prices can fluctuate significantly and unpredictably.
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