Sui (SUI), a Layer 1 blockchain, is ‘becoming a major player in the crowded smart contract platform (SCP) space. According to the recent VanEck report and analysis, the token is expected to go up to 326% by the end of 2025. The analysis puts Sui at the top of the pack for future growth with scalability, fast-growing DeFi traction, and the chance to capture more market share in the fast-growing SCP space. But what makes VanEck so bullish on Sui, and where does it stack up against other chains like Aptos (APT) for long-term potential?
VanEck’s 2025 Sui Price Prediction
VanEck’s Senior Investment Analyst, Patrick Bush, sees Sui’s market cap reaching $61 billion with the token price at $16. This is based on their models and a 4.2x price increase. At the current price of $4.15, this would be above a 326% gain.
They are optimistic about this because Sui is in the broader SCP space, which, according to VanEck, is expected to grow 43% to $1.1 trillion by 2025. This growth is in line with U.S. M2 money supply expansion. So, it should be good for blockchain projects like Sui. Sui, with a 5.5% market share, might be a strong player in the SCP space.
DeFi on Sui: Growing Traction and Market Interest
Another reason for the Sui prediction is its growing presence in DeFi. The blockchain is 4th in DEX trading volume over the last 100 days behind Solana, Ethereum and Arbitrum. Strong DEX volume is a sign that Sui is gaining traction with both developers and investors which is a sign the platform is gaining momentum in the competitive DeFi space.
At the same time, market interest in Sui is increasing, placing the blockchain 3rd in Google Trends behind Solana and Ethereum, which in itself is a sign of a coming surge in market share captured by this smart contract platform as both developers and investors start to discover it.
Sui’s speed, scalability and developer friendly environment puts it in competition with Ethereum and Solana. However, will it be able to sustain this growth with regulatory concerns?
Regulatory Risks: The Wildcard in Sui’s Success
Despite the positive outlook, the VanEck report does mention regulatory risks. The growing scrutiny of crypto and the debate on whether digital assets should be classified as commodities or securities could impact Sui’s path to mass adoption. They specifically mentioned the FIT 21 bill, which aims to clarify the regulatory landscape and might result in stricter decentralization requirements.
These tokens will reportedly be limited to accredited investors due to regulatory constraints, reducing the path to mass adoption. If they don’t meet the new regulations, institutional investors might not touch these platforms, which is key to long-term growth for many of these use cases.
Sui Moves Steady After January Sell Off
Despite the early 2025 market volatility, Sui has held up. It pulled back in January but found support above $3.5 and is up 12% to $4.15 at press time. If this bounce continues, Sui could get back into the ascending channel established in November 2024 and head towards $16 by the end of the year.
This is good for investors as it shows Sui can bounce back whenever the market corrects. While interest is still growing from retail and institutional investors, Sui might just extend this gain to consolidate into more growth in the next few months.
Conclusion: Sui in the SCP Market
It can be seen how, with more Layer 1 blockchain platforms entering the competition, SUI was able to hold its ground. Based on increasing DeFi presence, market interest, and very strong scalability, the 326% forecast by VanEck by the end of 2025 makes sense, although regulatory risks are still an open-ended situation that might hinder or accelerate success on the platform. As investors look for the next big thing in crypto, Sui’s path to capture market share in the $1.1 trillion SCP market is a project to watch out for in the coming years.
It’s uncertain, but Sui’s path suggests it can hit some big milestones, and $16 by 2025 is not impossible.
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FAQs
1. What is Sui (SUI)?
Sui is a layer 1 blockchain that is fast, scalable, and developer-friendly. It can be considered as a competitor to popular smart contract platforms like Ethereum and Solana.
2. Why is VanEck predicting 326% price surge in SUI?
VanEck thinks Sui’s market share in the smart contract space and DeFi will drive the price higher. They project $16 by end of 2025 based on that.
3. What are the risks to Sui’s growth?
The biggest risk to Sui is regulatory risk. If new regulations require more from blockchain platforms, Sui’s growth will be limited while trying to reach more markets.
4. Recent Performance of Sui
After a pullback in January 2025, Sui has bounced back and is currently trading at higher levels, resilient to the volatility in markets. This may position the token for further growth over the coming months.