XRP Price Prediction: Can Bulls Finally Defend the $1 Level?

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This article was first published on The Bit Journal.

After weeks of persistent selling, XRP price prediction has become one of the most closely watched in the crypto market. XRP is trading around $1.08, hovering just above the psychologically important $1 support after failing to reclaim key moving averages.

While softer U.S. inflation data briefly improved risk sentiment across risk assets, XRP has struggled to attract meaningful buying interest, depicting cautious positioning among both retail and institutional investors. 

Technically, the token remains below its major exponential moving averages, while declining perpetual futures open interest and slowing ETF inflows point to fading speculative demand. 

Even so, momentum indicators suggest the market is consolidating and not entering a fresh capitulation phase, leaving traders focused on whether buyers can defend the current support zone.

XRP Bulls Must Reclaim Key Resistance Levels

The daily chart still favors caution. XRP continues trading below its 50-day EMA near $1.14-$1.15 and beneath the 200-day EMA around $1.44-$1.45, confirming that the overall rend remains under pressure. CoinCodex also shows a 14-day RSI near 45, indicating neutral momentum rather than an oversold condition.

Immediate support sits between $1.00 and $1.02, with additional buying interest emerging around $0.99 if that level fails. On the upside, bulls must first recover $1.10-$1.11 before challenging $1.15-$1.17, where sellers have repeatedly stepped in.

Trading volume remains around $1 billion daily, enough to sustain liquidity but insufficient to confirm a trend reversal.

Unless buyers return with stronger conviction, XRP may continue moving sideways instead of launching into a sustained recovery.

Market Sentiment Remains Mixed Despite Regulatory Progress

One reason XRP has avoided a deeper breakdown is that its long-term outlook remains intact.

The regulatory progress has improved notably in 2026 following U.S. policy developments surrounding digital assets and the launch of spot XRP ETFs. However, ETF inflows have been moderate compared with their initial launch period, reducing one of the strongest catalysts that previously supported price appreciation. 

Additionally, perpetual futures open interest has continued to decline, suggesting leveraged traders are reducing exposure instead of betting on an immediate rebound. This often produces range-bound price action rather than explosive volatility.

If macroeconomic conditions remain supportive and institutional demand improves again, XRP could gradually rebuild momentum. The market appears comfortable waiting for stronger catalysts.

Expert XRP Price Predictions Remain Cautiously Optimistic

Although the short-term outlook remains uncertain, most forecasting models still expect XRP to finish 2026 above current levels.

These projections share one common theme which is that most analysts expect gradual appreciation not an immediate breakout. That outlook depends heavily on improving market liquidity, stronger ETF demand and a broader recovery across cryptocurrencies.

XRP Price Prediction for Next Week

From a technical standpoint, the most likely outcome remains continued consolidation.

If buyers successfully defend $1.00-$1.02, XRP could rebound toward $1.15, with a stronger move targeting $1.20 if volume expands.

A failure to hold $1 support would likely expose $0.99, followed by the mid-$0.90 region where historical demand previously emerged.

Short-term scenarios

While neutral RSI readings suggest neither buyers nor sellers currently control the market, price action around the $1 support will probably determine XRP’s direction over the coming week.

Conclusion

XRP price prediction remains cautiously neutral in the short term. The $1 support continues to represent the most important technical level for traders, while resistance near $1.15 still limits recovery attempts. 

Longer-term forecasts from CoinCodex, Changelly and other analysts continue pointing toward higher prices later in 2026, but those projections depend on renewed institutional demand, stronger ETF inflows and improving market sentiment. 

Until those catalysts emerge, XRP is likely to remain locked in a consolidation phase where patience may prove more rewarding than chasing every short-term move.

Glossary

EMA: Exponential Moving Average used to identify market trends.

RSI: Relative Strength Index measuring buying and selling momentum.

Open Interest: Total value of outstanding futures contracts.

ETF: Exchange-Traded Fund offering regulated exposure to an asset.

Support Level: Price area where buying demand tends to emerge.

Frequently Asked Questions About XRP Price Prediction 

Will XRP hold $1 next week?

The $1-$1.02 zone remains XRP’s strongest technical support. Holding this level would improve the chances of a recovery.

What is the next resistance level for XRP?

The first major resistance lies around $1.10-$1.11, followed by $1.15-$1.17.

Are analysts bullish on XRP for 2026?

Most current forecasts expect XRP to finish 2026 above current prices, although gains are projected to be gradual rather than immediate. 

References

CoinCodex 

Changelly 

Cryptonews